The countdown is running. The last few days gave only little reason to cheer and to expect the necessary achievements. Decision makers have now arrived in Copenhagen, and are trying to commit to binding resolutions.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Environmentalists advise richer countries should reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by 40 % or more by 2020, compared with 1990 levels, to avoid serious climate damage. While the EU has already pledged 20%, with the possibility of 30%, the US has so far offered about 4%.
Aid for poor nations to cope with the impacts of Climate Change. Billions of dollars will be needed every year, and developing nations are trying to establish stable revenue sources for climate aid.
Protection of Forests: At the moment there is no specific money planned for the protection of forests, and to reduce illegal lumbering. Experts estimate that deforestation accounts for up to 20% of green gas emissions worldwide.
Monitoring of pledges: Some kind of international verification of emissions, even without penalties, is considered a potential intrusions on their sovereignty by some developing countries such as China or India.
Legal framework: Several countries do not want to be bound to international treaties to carry out their pledges. The level of obligation might therefore vary, all the way to “voluntary goals”.
All the different interests at stake at the conference led to an “unexpected stop” on Wednesday, according to Yvo de Boer, the UN’s top climate official. This has led to worries about the outcome of the conference as a whole. De Boer said that it’s still possible to become a success, but all depended on if, and how, the world’s leaders will deal with the unsolved issue on Thursday and Friday.![]()
Some positive input came from Japan; it pledges a total of 15 billion US dollars for climate aid for developing countries up to 2012. Condition is the effective outcome and accord of the summit in Copenhagen. This offer is more generous than the EU’s, and might promote others to pledge more. Then John Kerry, Chair of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said that the American Congress will finally pass a climate change bill in 2010. Again condition is the successful conclusion of the conference.
Another key requirement John Kerry mentioned is that China, India and other developing countries should meet the US demand for accountability on their emission cuts. This is one of the mayor issues of dispute. The Americans fear disadvantage regarding production if some countries don’t participate with the same effort as others. US Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack also had a pledge to make: the US, Australia, France, Japan, Norway and Britain will give 3.5 billion US dollars over the next three years to a program aimed at protecting rainforests. French President Nicolas Sarkozy and his Indonesian counterpart, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, also agree on the importance of protecting rainforests, and are supporting a plan for fighting deforestation at the summit.![]()
193 nations are trying to negotiate the new pact to save the world as we know it. The next few hours are incredibly important, and millions of people all over the world hope that those in charge make the right decisions.
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